Clashes in Aleppo as deadline for SDF’s integration into army approaches

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Clashes betwixt Syrian authorities forces and the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) successful Syria’s second-largest city, Aleppo, did not travel successful a vacuum.

Tensions betwixt the 2 sides person been precocious arsenic an end-of-year deadline to incorporated the SDF into the Syrian equipped forces approaches.

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The warring erupted connected Monday day during a sojourn by Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan but had ended by that evening aft the 2 sides agreed to halt firing.

Analysts told Al Jazeera that the SDF, led by subject person Mazloum Abdi (also known arsenic Mazloum Kobani) and the Syrian government, person seemingly reached an impasse connected however to integrate the Kurdish fighters into the caller authorities subject operation and that a nonaccomplishment to find a superior woody could pb to renewed bouts of warring oregon subject confrontation betwixt the 2 sides.

“The reddish lines of the [Kurdish] self-administration connected 1 hand, and Turkiye/Damascus connected the other, bash contiguous immoderate striking incompatibility, and I bash not spot a mode that the 2 tin beryllium reconciled,” Thomas McGee, the Max Weber Fellow specialising connected Syria astatine the European University Institute successful Florence, told Al Jazeera.

Negotiations

On March 10, the caller Syrian authorities successful Damascus, led by Ahmed al-Sharaa, and the SDF signed a historical statement that planned to integrate the second radical into Syria’s caller equipped forces by the extremity of 2025.

The SDF is mostly made up of members of the People’s Defense Units (YPG), the subject helping of the Syrian subdivision of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK). The PKK is labelled a “terrorist” organisation by the United States, the European Union and Turkiye.

The statement was seen arsenic a means of avoiding a perchance explosive confrontation betwixt Damascus and the US-trained SDF. However, 10 months on, portion the statement has helped the 2 sides debar clashes, small advancement has been made.

”For determination to beryllium immoderate advancement connected implementing this point, 1 broadside would person to springiness mode … arsenic such, the presumption quo prevails,” McGee added.

A constituent of contention seems to beryllium betwixt the SDF’s preferred presumption of incorporating their existing battalions into the Syrian equipped forces with a grade of autonomy, versus Damascus’s preferred presumption of the idiosyncratic integration of SDF fighters.

Analysts told Al Jazeera that these 2 positions were apt untenable and that an statement didn’t look imminent.

Turkiye has backed Damascus and adjacent threatened unilateral subject involution should an statement not beryllium reached.

“We conscionable anticipation that things spell done dialogue, negotiations and peacefully. We don’t privation to spot immoderate request to edifice to subject means again. But SDF should recognize the patience of the applicable actors is moving out,” Turkish Foreign Minister Fidan told Turkish authorities media.

After a decades-long equipped rebellion by the PKK, Turkiye has reached a woody with the radical to disarm and laic down its weapons. Despite Fidan’s beardown words, analysts said it is improbable it would privation to undermine those talks by militarily confronting the SDF.

Kurdish self-administration

On December 8, the much than five-decade regularisation of the Assad authorities ended, allowing millions of Syrians to instrumentality to their state amid hopes for a amended future. This was peculiarly existent successful areas controlled by the SDF during Syria’s civilian war; nether Bashar al-Assad, Kurdish rights were restricted and galore Kurds said they were treated arsenic second-class citizens.

But during Syria’s gyration and the consequent astir 14 years of civilian war, the SDF controlled areas successful the northeast – astatine times by unit and against the volition of Arab inhabitants – and was capable to physique a level of autonomy. Analysts said the radical is hesitant to relinquish that power.

“In presumption of Kurdish self-defence and quality of Kurds to marque ain decisions, they deliberation they’ve present achieved thing which they’ve ne'er had before, and don’t privation to springiness it up,” Robin Yassin-Kassab, a Syrian writer and co-author of the publication Burning Country: Syrians successful Revolution and War, told Al Jazeera.

Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani said connected Monday that the SDF ”showed nary willingness” to integrate into the country’s cardinal medication successful Damascus.

Yet analysts accidental determination is simply a heavy mistrust betwixt Damascus and the SDF and that the authorities could person taken immoderate steps to physique confidence.

“The authorities has failed to instrumentality vantage of definite opportunities to amusement bully religion successful implementing the statement from its side,” McGee said.

He added that the authorities could person taken steps specified arsenic recognising Newroz arsenic a nationalist vacation oregon acknowledging the rife Kurdish statelessness that occurred nether the Assad regime.

“Also, during my caller sojourn to Hasakah, galore locals were commenting connected the information that services [such arsenic civilian documentation] that had been disposable to them done the Security Squares of Qamishli and Hasakah nether the Assad authorities are nary longer successful spot since December past year,” McGee said.

Little progress

Syria’s caller medication has gained important planetary and determination backing, and that could person built its assurance successful its dealings with the SDF.

The US, successful particular, has grown person to Damascus successful caller months, with al-Sharaa making a historical sojourn to the White House and seemingly winning the support of US President Donald Trump.

The US besides trained and equipped the SDF successful its combat against ISIL (ISIS). But Trump’s peculiar envoy to Syria, Tom Barrack, has said the US supports the SDF integrating into the Syrian authorities and that it would not similar to spot the SDF breaking distant to signifier an autonomous entity oregon adjacent a semi-autonomous portion similar Iraqi Kurdistan. Barrack besides praised the ”reasonable options” presented by the authorities to the SDF.

“The US privation the SDF to integrate into the caller Syrian transitional authorities but don’t privation the SDF – Damascus to descend into struggle due to the fact that it volition make much opportunities for ISIL to popular up successful vacuums,” Wladimir van Wilgenburg, an expert of Kurdish authorities based successful Erbil, told Al Jazeera.

On Friday, Reuters quality bureau reported that Damascus “expressed openness to the SDF reorganising its astir 50,000 fighters into 3 main divisions and smaller brigades arsenic agelong arsenic it cedes immoderate chains of bid and opens its territory to different Syrian service units”.

However, officials besides told Reuters a woody didn’t look to beryllium imminent and much talks were needed.

Still, analysts said the March 10 woody signed by al-Sharaa and Abdi successful Damascus did person a affirmative interaction successful limiting clashes.

“It is notable that determination has been highly small nonstop struggle betwixt the Syrian authorities and aforesaid -administration since the signing of the agreement, indicating that astatine slightest the proviso relating to the ‘ceasefire’ has broadly held,” McGee said. “Other provisions person clearly, however, seen small progress.”

It’s inactive unclear however Monday’s clashes whitethorn impact the deal, and analysts accidental the imaginable of SDF fighters integrating into authorities forces earlier the extremity of 2025 is unlikely.

“The deadline is approaching accelerated but immoderate officials accidental it’s much important to instrumentality the statement than absorption connected the deadline, truthful determination could beryllium an extension,” van Wilgenburg said.

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